Hikaru Shiraishi vs Taiyo Yamanaka Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

Analyzing the recent form of both players, Yamanaka has exhibited slightly better second serve performance, capturing 44.38% of points compared to Shiraishi's 42.71%. This slight edge in second serve effectiveness could be pivotal in predicting the match outcome, as this statistic is highly correlated with match prediction accuracy.

In terms of return game statistics, Shiraishi has the slight advantage, winning 44.19% of their opponent's second serve points, marginally outpacing Yamanaka's 43.78%. Moreover, for first serve return points, Shiraishi's 28.71% is just a bit lower than Yamanaka's 29.54%. These statistics suggest a close contest given their significant role in head-to-head matchups.

Evaluating their ability to perform under pressure, Yamanaka shows resilience by saving 54.44% of breakpoints, a bit more than Shiraishi's 48.37%. This difference might be useful for in-game betting analytics. Despite this, Shiraishi edges out in converting breakpoint opportunities, with a precision rate of 35.76% against Yamanaka's 36.03% in recent matchups.

Looking closer at the players' performance over the past year, Yamanaka has a winning percentage of 59.09%, a notch higher than Shiraishi's 54%. Their direct head-to-head record favors Shiraishi, who has won all encounters, including their last match at M 25 Taipei on July 31, 2024, concluding with a definitive 6-4, 6-2 win on a hard court.

Surface performance also provides insights. Shiraishi boasts an impressive 67% win rate on hard courts but struggles on indoor hard courts with a mere 20% win ratio. Conversely, Yamanaka excels with a 67% win percentage on indoor hard courts, but their performance drops on hard surfaces with a 56% win rate.

In terms of match experience, both players predominantly compete in Futures/Satellites/ITF tournaments $10K, with Shiraishi achieving a 62.07% winning rate versus Yamanaka's 59.09%. However, Yamanaka has competed against relatively stronger opponents, facing players with an average rank of 293.15, compared to Shiraishi’s average opponent rank of 475.1.

When considering the deciding set outcomes over the last 12 months, Shiraishi dominates with 67% victories in matches that extended to a deciding set, while Yamanaka lags at 23%. This crucial capacity to clinch deciding sets could tilt predictions in Shiraishi's favor if the match reaches that stage.

The stats culminate in a competitive prediction, yet Shiraishi appears favored to win based on superior head-to-head results, better performance in high-pressure situations like deciding sets, and a favorable track record on their preferred surface. Therefore, these insights draw a conclusion that Shiraishi is likely to secure the upcoming match victory.